At this point it seems that Windows 7 will be a smash hit.
or will it?
On October 22nd, Microsofts new operating system enters a stage called General Availability, or GA. The GA stage is the point at which the operating system becomes available to the general public. It will be on the shelves in brick and mortar stores, available to buy from online retailers and available pre-installed on new PCs.
This is when Windows 7 is unleashed on the great unwashed, and its the biggest test that the OS will have faced so far.
How the public at large receives Windows 7 over the first few months will be critical to the operating systems long-term success. Vistas fate was sealed within the first few months of GA, and theres no reason to think that the same doesnt apply to Windows 7.
So, what could go wrong to derail Windows 7? Lets take a look at five possible stumbling blocks:
A lot of the time, Microsoft cops the blame for Windows problems that have nothing to do with either Microsoft or Windows. Just one driver can bring an entire PC down to its knees, and unless you know what youre doing, finding that dodgy driver can be next to impossible.
Poor, immature drivers definitely played a hand in the whole Windows Vista FAIL saga.
In particular, graphics drivers from both ATI and NVIDIA were very poor and lead to a high proportion of users experiencing an insane number of crashes. Systems that were otherwise fine running Windows XP or 2000 were suddenly rendered unusable.
And when the system crashes, no matter what the reason, most people point the finger at the OS itself.
Windows 7, under the hood, isnt all that dissimilar to Windows Vista, so most hardware vendors shouldnt have too much of a problem making drivers that work with the new OS. Beta testing also seems to indicate that compatibility is good.
However, things might change as people start pushing the compatibility envelope with older or more obscure hardware. Will the drivers hold up?
Hmmm yes. People are spending less (well, on everything expect Apple products, it would seem).
Windows 7 could very well be the best OS ever, but unless people are willing to flip open their wallets or unsnap their purses and buy new PCs with Windows 7 on them or purchase an upgrade copy of the OS Microsoft is once again stuck with an OS it cant sell.
The economy is a big problem for Microsoft, because not only are consumers feeling the pinch, but also businesses are squeezing more years out of their old hardware.
And when you think about it, it makes a lot of sense. If your existing hardware and software infrastructure is doing everything thats being asked of it, whats the point in upgrading?
Bottom line with the economy: unless Microsoft can come up with concrete reasons why users (home and business) should upgrade reasons which go above and beyond eye candy once the initial excitement of the Windows 7 launch parties have faded, people might not be so thrilled about spending the cash to upgrade.
At the moment there are countless surveys out there making all sorts of upgrade predictions about Windows 7. One recent study suggested that 50 per cent of businesses would move to Windows 7 in a year.
Most of these seem wildly optimistic given the current economic climate and the fact that businesses usually wait for the first service pack to hit before considering adoptions of a new OS.