If youd have asked me this time last year which operating system was going to be hot in 2007 I would have said it would be Windows Vista. Microsoft had both the marketing cash and the user base to springboard Vista into the hot list. But things didnt work out right for Microsoft for a number of reasons. To begin with, Microsoft took a superficial approach to marketing Vista, choosing to concentrate on how the operating system looked rather than how it performed. Then, rather than being Wowed! by Vista, business and enterprise users immediately started asking when SP1 would be available. Compatibility and performance problems bugged a lot of early adopters, and these people quickly spread the word that living with Vista wasnt all Wow! like Microsoft had promised.
Vista also appeared at a time when computer users were more willing than ever to try out alternatives to Windows. Ubuntu signed a deal with Dell to ship the Linux distro on a selection of PCs offered by Dell. Now, you cant find them in Dells main catalog, and the selection is small, but its still a start. The Mac platform has also enjoying strong growth this year despite competition from Microsoft. Because more and more users want to experiment with different operating systems, 2007 has also been a good year for virtualization technologies. Applications such as Parallels, VMware Workstation, VMware Fusion and Apples Bootcamp have gained significant traction this year as people start to experiment with different operating systems. Part of this success is almost certainly down to people not being as pleased with Vista as they had expected to be.
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So the state of play is that Linux is hot, Vista is not. Tiger, the current incarnation of Mac OS X, is also hot and enjoying a long-awaited increase in users. But will the next incarnation, Leopard, enjoy a similar success? Or will it ultimately suffer a fate similar as Vista and fail to excite the emotions of its users?
Just lately there have been a spate of articles by folks in the Mac community who seem to be suggesting that Leopard just isnt innovative enough. For example, heres what Hadley Stern of Apple Matters had to say about Leopard:
Look, I love OS X. And Im with John [John Gruber, in his Macworld article] that when it first came out it was awful, and that Tiger is currently an excellent operating system. But I dont just expect refinements from Apple (and I certainly dont expect to part with $129 for it) I expect innovation
I have used the beta of Leopard extensively (and legally I might add) and for the most part it falls within the refinement area. It is faster, smoother, and the OS details are more consistent. It has spaces (which is nothing new), a horribly-rendered title bar image-thingy (which makes me think someone hired a UI designer from Redmond) and some other stuff I cant remember right now. But what it doesnt offer is anything really new, and this is a shame.