Schwartz says he too is seeing an increasing number of companies looking to set up their own IT operations in other countries. He explains that a company might ask them to get IT operations started for them in an emerging country -- all with the understanding that once it's up and running, the company will take over operations. That way businesses can avoid the expense and management intricacies of working with an outsourcer, but still get the cost benefits of having work done offshore.
But John Challenger, CEO of Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a Chicago-based outplacement company, says Gartner's predictions are running high and smack of alarmism.
''It sounds awfully high to me,'' says Challenger. ''Too many IT jobs will be created in small and medium-sized businesses. That alone, will keep these jobs localized... This all sounds alarmist.''
Challenger even argues that the U.S. IT labor force is not in dire straights.
''Are there troubles? Is the workforce being globalized? Yes,'' says Challenger. ''Will that put downward pressure on wages? Maybe. That's a more realistic concern than to think that such a huge chunk of IT jobs will disappear in short order.
''Is there demand for IT workers? Absolutely,'' he adds. ''That continues to go on in all kinds of companies.''
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